# EUR/USD and EUR/JPY Forecast: Euro Falls, FX Vol Sleeps

> The euro closed at $1.1023 on November 13, its lowest close in a year and lowest since April 2025, and lost 1.08% on the week. Implied one-month volatility on EUR/USD stayed near its one-year average at about 6.1%, and EUR/JPY was little changed at 176.10.

- Date: 2026-11-14 · published 2026-11-15T12:12:31.238Z
- Category: macro · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/101135-eur-usd-and-eur-jpy-forecast-euro-falls-fx-vol-sleeps
- Commodities: [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md)

## Why it matters

A weaker euro against the dollar raises the cost of dollar-priced grain and oilseed imports for European feed buyers and can add downside pressure to dollar-quoted commodity prices.

## Read by commodity

- EURUSD: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2016-12-28 | [Euro To Dollar Forecast: Rally In EUR USD Exchange Rate Falters And 2017 Looks Bearish](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73670-euro-to-dollar-forecast-rally-in-eur-usd-exchange-rate-falters-and-2017-looks.md) | +0.2% | +2.2% |
| EURUSD | 2024-09-23 | [US Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Falls as Weak Eurozone Data Fuels ECB Rate Cut Bets \| FXEmpire](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28531-us-dollar-forecast-eur-usd-falls-as-weak-eurozone-data-fuels-ecb-rate-cut-bets.md) | 0.0% | -3.0% |
| EURUSD | 2018-09-30 | [The British Pound, Euro And US Dollar (GBP, EUR, USD) Exchange Rate Forecasts - Brexit Update \| Exchange Rates UK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63290-the-british-pound-euro-and-us-dollar-gbp-eur-usd-exchange-rate-forecasts-brexit.md) | -1.0% | -2.0% |
| EURUSD | 2023-04-28 | [EUR/USD Rate Forecast: Near-term Peak is Close DNB Bank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36618-eur-usd-rate-forecast-near-term-peak-is-close-dnb-bank.md) | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| EURUSD | 2021-11-22 | [EUR/USD Forecasts Downgraded On Euro-Zone Covid Stresses: Goldman Sachs](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44250-eur-usd-forecasts-downgraded-on-euro-zone-covid-stresses-goldman-sachs.md) | -0.5% | -0.2% |

## Sources

- newsletter.crossvolresearch.com: https://newsletter.crossvolresearch.com/p/eur-usd-eur-jpy-forecast-euro-falling-fx-volatility

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.