# Canadian wheat exports expected to decline amid smaller harvest and weaker North African demand

> A USDA attaché report projects Canadian wheat exports to fall 2.8% year-on-year to 28.95 million tonnes in MY 2026/27. Production is estimated at 36.12 million tonnes, about 11% below the prior year, though beginning stocks rose to 6.65 million tonnes. Lower-grade CWRS and feed wheat may find buyers in price-sensitive markets.

- Date: 2026-11-15 · published 2026-11-15T09:05:43.154Z
- Category: trade · region Canada · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/100986-canadian-wheat-exports-expected-to-decline-amid-smaller-harvest-and-weaker
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller Canadian crop and lower exports tighten exportable wheat supply, which supports global wheat prices. Weaker North African demand and price competitiveness of Canadian wheat limit that effect.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2018-07-19 | [Chinese demand boosting Canadian wheat, barley exports - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64042-chinese-demand-boosting-canadian-wheat-barley-exports-agcanada.md) | +3.7% | +2.1% |
| WHEAT | 2023-06-22 | [India may be forced to reinstate exports ban as wheat harvest ...](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35456-india-may-be-forced-to-reinstate-exports-ban-as-wheat-harvest.md) | +7.6% | -0.3% |
| WHEAT | 2026-01-30 | [Wheat continues to rise - export demand supports US](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21105-wheat-continues-to-rise-export-demand-supports-us.md) | -0.3% | +3.1% |
| WHEAT | 2020-09-21 | [Bulkers can harvest rewards from growing North African grain imports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51024-bulkers-can-harvest-rewards-from-growing-north-african-grain-imports.md) | -1.9% | +7.9% |
| WHEAT | 2017-10-19 | [U.S. grains: Soy, wheat, corn firm on export demand - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68544-u-s-grains-soy-wheat-corn-firm-on-export-demand-agcanada.md) | +0.2% | -3.0% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/canadian-wheat-exports-expected-to-decline-amid-smaller-harvest-and-weaker-north-african-demand/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.