# Euro weekly outlook: likely to weaken as ECB rate hike hopes are weighed down by yen-weakness checks and French situation

> Analysts expect the euro to soften this week as ECB officials back an additional rate hike in December. Concerns over French fiscal and political conditions and warnings against yen weakness from Japanese officials are also weighing on the currency. Forecast ranges are 1.0950-1.1250 for EUR/USD and 173-179 yen for EUR/JPY.

- Date: 2026-11-14 · published 2026-11-15T06:12:36.475Z
- Category: macro · region Europe · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/100791-euro-weekly-outlook-likely-to-weaken-as-ecb-rate-hike-hopes-are-weighed-down-by
- Commodities: [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md)

## Why it matters

A weaker euro raises the cost of dollar-priced commodities for European buyers, while a stronger dollar pressures US feed prices. The effect on feed markets is limited.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2021-02-01 | [U.S. dollar reaches six-week high on weaker euro, Swiss franc and yen](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48877-u-s-dollar-reaches-six-week-high-on-weaker-euro-swiss-franc-and-yen.md) | -0.8% | -0.7% |
| EURUSD | 2022-11-01 | [ECB Rate Hike Expectations, Weaker Dollar Lift Euro \| FXEmpire](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38898-ecb-rate-hike-expectations-weaker-dollar-lift-euro-fxempire.md) | +1.1% | +4.4% |
| EURUSD | 2022-05-23 | [Stocks rally as euro gains on likely rate hikes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12688-stocks-rally-as-euro-gains-on-likely-rate-hikes.md) | +1.4% | -0.1% |
| EURUSD | 2020-04-30 | [Pound-Dollar Protected By Dovish FED, Focus For Sterling-Euro Rate Outlook On ECB And UK Lockdown \| Exchange Rates UK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53871-pound-dollar-protected-by-dovish-fed-focus-for-sterling-euro-rate-outlook-on.md) | -0.4% | +2.0% |
| EURUSD | 2025-11-27 | [EUR/JPY steady as ECB minutes back Euro, Yen weighed by fiscal risks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22159-eur-jpy-steady-as-ecb-minutes-back-euro-yen-weighed-by-fiscal-risks.md) | +0.6% | +1.5% |

## Sources

- mag2.com: https://www.mag2.com/p/money/1818066/amp

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.