# USDA Forecasts 15.3% Increase in Fertilizer Costs for US Farmers in 2026, Impacting Corn Profitability

> The USDA projects fertilizer, lime and soil amendment costs in the US will rise 15.3% in 2026, an additional $5.3 billion. Higher natural gas prices for nitrogen production and elevated sulfur costs for phosphate fertilizers are driving the increase. Corn producers are particularly exposed, since fertilizer makes up 17–24% of their production costs.

- Date: 2026-11-14 · published 2026-11-15T00:13:07.001Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/100230-usda-forecasts-15-3-increase-in-fertilizer-costs-for-us-farmers-in-2026
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Higher input costs may cut US corn plantings and profitability, potentially shifting acreage toward soybeans in 2027. This supports corn and fertilizer prices over the medium term.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2023-12-04 | [USDA increases beef production forecasts - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32852-usda-increases-beef-production-forecasts-grainews.md) | +1.7% | +3.1% |
| CORN | 2025-04-10 | [USDA Report Reaction \| USDA cuts corn ending stocks - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25070-usda-report-reaction-usda-cuts-corn-ending-stocks-pro-farmer.md) | +3.1% | -3.3% |
| CORN | 2026-04-01 | [US farmers to plant less corn as Iran war spikes fertilizer prices \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19743-us-farmers-to-plant-less-corn-as-iran-war-spikes-fertilizer-prices-reuters.md) | -1.7% | +1.5% |
| CORN | 2017-02-06 | [US Broiler Production Forecasts Increase for First Quarter of 2017
						 \| The Poultry Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72650-us-broiler-production-forecasts-increase-for-first-quarter-of-2017-the-poultry.md) | -0.0% | +1.3% |
| CORN | 2024-04-16 | [USDA revises corn and sorghum forecasts for 2023/24 \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30811-usda-revises-corn-and-sorghum-forecasts-for-2023-24-feed-and-grain.md) | -0.3% | +3.3% |
| UREA | 2025-04-30 | [Increased corn acres driving higher fertilizer prices; farmers may see fuel price relief](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4277-increased-corn-acres-driving-higher-fertilizer-prices-farmers-may-see-fuel.md) | +17.4% | +7.7% |
| UREA | 2025-02-05 | [Urea, UAN32 lead fertilizer prices higher \| Profitability \| farmweeknow.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4647-urea-uan32-lead-fertilizer-prices-higher-profitability-farmweeknow-com.md) | +2.4% | -1.5% |
| UREA | 2024-12-23 | [Fertilizer prices stabilize in 2024, but uncertainty continues \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26887-fertilizer-prices-stabilize-in-2024-but-uncertainty-continues-ag-proud.md) | +4.4% | +9.4% |

## Sources

- insights.tridge.com: https://insights.tridge.com/speaker-product-news-reports/KJLyFXpzJzgKuB1Gqsm5QUKHGgR43AVdqLAv6JUKLYijHbKKTT4KYmYp

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.