
Combined milk output from the largest dairy exporters (New Zealand, EU, US, Argentina, Australia) fell below prior-year levels from September 2021 and had not recovered by mid-2022, with first-half output about 1.1% lower. Environmental rules in Europe and New Zealand are capping herds, Australian drought has shrunk the herd, and South American inflation and currency volatility are curbing investment.
US producers face high feed and hay costs, with Central Valley hay near $450 per ton.
A prolonged global milk shortfall with slow supply response keeps dairy supplies tight and supports milk prices. Higher feed and hay costs also squeeze producer margins, which can further limit output.
Tras 32 eventos alcista de clima pasados, Leche (Clase III) se movió una mediana de +0,1 % en 5 sesiones (50% al alza; mitad central entre -0,7 % y +3,4 %), y +3,2 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.