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The renminbi fell from 6.36 to 6.78 against the dollar, a drop of about 6.6%, in roughly two weeks between late April and early May. Drivers include large foreign bond outflows, importer and exporter hedging, US dollar strength from Fed tightening, and a weak yen that pushed the PBOC to shift to a weaker cross-rate policy.
The renminbi's depreciation raises the cost of dollar-priced imports for China and shifts the outlook for its feed purchases. Continued weakness keeps USD/CNY elevated and tends to weigh on commodity demand from China.
viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.comChi Lo24 may 2022Tras 398 eventos alcista de macro pasados, Yuan chino (CNY por USD) se movió una mediana de +0,0 % en 5 sesiones (56% al alza; mitad central entre -0,3 % y +0,5 %), y +0,0 % en 20.
Tras 2356 eventos alcista de macro pasados, Dólar estadounidense (amplio) se movió una mediana de +0,2 % en 5 sesiones (60% al alza; mitad central entre -0,3 % y +0,7 %), y +0,4 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
It explains the drivers of yuan weakness (bond outflows, hedging, Fed-driven dollar strength, PBOC weaker cross-rate policy), though it describes the late April to early May drop rather than the specific week.
