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The IMF's 2018 Article IV consultation for Brazil says the economy is recovering moderately after a 2015-16 recession that cut cumulative real GDP by 8.2 percent. Growth of 1 percent in 2017 is projected to accelerate to 1.8 percent in 2018 and 2.5 percent in 2019, driven by consumption and investment.
The IMF also estimates the output gap at about -3.5 percent and flags remaining risks.
A gradual Brazilian recovery supports domestic demand for feed grains and meat, but the risks flagged point to limited upside. The effect on feed prices is modest and mainly indirect.
elibrary.imf.org3 ago 2018Tras 92 eventos neutral de macro pasados, Real brasileño (BRL por USD) se movió una mediana de +0,4 % en 5 sesiones (58% al alza; mitad central entre -0,7 % y +1,4 %), y +0,4 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
