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Brazil's Ibovespa equity index jumped 4.1 percent, its biggest gain in two years, as the real strengthened to a two-month high. Petrobras shares rose more than 8 percent and bonds rallied alongside, as investors reacted to Jair Bolsonaro taking a commanding lead in the presidential race.
Political outcomes favoring market-friendly policy strengthen the real, which makes Brazilian soy, corn and meal cheaper for foreign buyers and can pressure global feed prices. The effect on grain prices is indirect and modest.
bloomberg.comRita Nazareth, Aline Oyamada, Vinicius Andrade8 oct 2018Tras 213 eventos bajista de macro pasados, Real brasileño (BRL por USD) se movió una mediana de -0,2 % en 5 sesiones (46% al alza; mitad central entre -1,5 % y +0,9 %), y +0,2 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
The Ibovespa jumped 4.1% and the real hit a two-month high on Bolsonaro's commanding lead, a direct sentiment-driven capital inflow that strengthened BRL sharply.
Bloomberg reports the real hit a two-month high as investors rallied on Bolsonaro's commanding lead, which matches the sharp BRL per USD drop (BRL strengthening) through sentiment and capital inflows.
