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ING revised its USD/CNY forecast to 7.0 by the end of 2018, citing new policies that open Chinese markets to foreign investment in sectors including agriculture and those hit by tariffs. ING also reported that China plans to restrict offshore dollar bond issuance to tenors of at least 365 days.
ING sees these steps as signals that authorities are increasingly prepared for a weaker yuan.
A weaker yuan forecast raises the dollar cost of US farm imports for China, which can reduce purchasing of soybeans and feed ingredients. Opening agriculture to foreign investment could over time affect China's domestic feed supply and import needs.
think.ing.com29 jun 2018Tras 398 eventos alcista de macro pasados, Yuan chino (CNY por USD) se movió una mediana de +0,0 % en 5 sesiones (56% al alza; mitad central entre -0,3 % y +0,5 %), y +0,0 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
