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The dollar posted its biggest gain since the Brexit vote after Donald Trump's election victory, rallying against most major peers and emerging-market currencies. The Fed December rate-hike probability jumped above 80 percent after falling below 50 percent on election results.
A sharp dollar rally and higher expected Fed rates raise import costs for emerging-market feed buyers and push down dollar-denominated commodity prices. Currency weakness against the dollar can also dampen import demand.
malaymail.com9 nov 2016Tras 2356 eventos alcista de macro pasados, Dólar estadounidense (amplio) se movió una mediana de +0,2 % en 5 sesiones (60% al alza; mitad central entre -0,3 % y +0,7 %), y +0,4 % en 20.
Tras 533 eventos bajista de macro pasados, Euro (USD por EUR) se movió una mediana de -0,3 % en 5 sesiones (33% al alza; mitad central entre -1,2 % y +0,2 %), y -0,5 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Reports the dollar's biggest one-day gain since Brexit on Trump's win, driven by a jump in Fed December hike odds, which directly explains the 1.23% broad USD move on 2016-11-09.
Trump's election win on Nov 9 triggered the biggest dollar gain since Brexit and lifted Fed hike odds, starting the euro's slide within the 5-day window.
