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US natural gas futures fell about 5% to a seven-week low on Tuesday, with the November contract at $2.201 per mmBtu. Forecasts for mild weather through mid-November and rising output squeezed demand.
The December premium over November was on track for a record high.
Mild weather cuts heating demand while rising output adds supply, pressuring spot prices. The record December premium signals expectations of looser near-term supply versus later winter demand.
brecorder.comReuters30 oct 2024brecorder.comReuters1 nov 2024Tras 104 eventos bajista de clima pasados, Gas natural se movió una mediana de -7,8 % en 5 sesiones (22% al alza; mitad central entre -14,8 % y -0,8 %), y -3,3 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Directly describes the Oct 30 session: Nov contract expiry at $2.201 and the record December premium over November reflect the roll to the more expensive front month, which plausibly explains a large continuous-series jump.
