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The IEA's July 2018 Oil Market Report forecasts 1.4 mb/d of global oil demand growth in both 2018 and 2019. Global supply rose 370 kb/d in June, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, and OPEC output hit a four-month high.
OECD commercial stocks rose by 13.9 mb in May but were still below normal levels.
Rising supply and a forecast of a surplus in the second half point to softer crude prices, though demand growth and low inventories limit the downside.
iea.org11 jul 2018Tras 171 eventos bajista de informe pasados, Petróleo crudo (WTI) se movió una mediana de -1,5 % en 5 sesiones (37% al alza; mitad central entre -4,8 % y +1,9 %), y -0,9 % en 20.
Tras 129 eventos bajista de informe pasados, Petróleo crudo (Brent) se movió una mediana de -1,3 % en 5 sesiones (45% al alza; mitad central entre -3,9 % y +2,5 %), y +0,4 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
The IEA's July 11 report showed June global supply up 370 kb/d with OPEC output at a four-month high and OECD stocks rebuilding, which eased supply-tightness concerns and plausibly contributed to the Brent selloff, though demand growth forecasts were steady and the move likely also reflected other factors such as Libya supply restoration and US-China trade tensions.
