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The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point and signaled a possible pause due to recent bank failures and the debt ceiling deadline. KC hard red winter wheat settled 45 cents higher, and CBOT rallied into the close on drone attacks on the Kremlin.
The commentary says grains and oilseeds were oversold and due for a recovery.
Rate policy and the debt ceiling affect the dollar and fund flows, while the geopolitical rally offered a short-covering bounce in wheat. Analysts expect continued volatility as old-crop markets transition to new crop.
stonex.comCraig Turner3 may 2023Tras 10 eventos alcista de macro pasados, Trigo (HRW) se movió una mediana de +0,8 % en 5 sesiones (60% al alza; mitad central entre -1,9 % y +3,1 %), y +1,3 % en 20.
Tras 57 eventos alcista de macro pasados, Trigo (SRW) se movió una mediana de +0,3 % en 5 sesiones (65% al alza; mitad central entre -0,5 % y +1,7 %), y -0,7 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
On May 3 KC HRW wheat settled 45 cents higher as oversold grains rebounded, helped by a dovish Fed signal and Kremlin drone attacks that lifted Black Sea risk premium, which fits a sharp 5-day move.
