
Oil prices fell below $100 a barrel after President Trump announced a two-week ceasefire with Iran. The deal followed weeks of conflict that had largely disrupted flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
A ceasefire that may restore Gulf crude flows removes part of the war risk premium, which lowers crude costs and eases pressure on energy-linked feed inputs.
Tras 250 eventos bajista de geopolítica pasados, Petróleo crudo (Brent) se movió una mediana de -3,1 % en 5 sesiones (36% al alza; mitad central entre -7,9 % y +1,6 %), y -5,5 % en 20.
Tras 255 eventos bajista de geopolítica pasados, Petróleo crudo (WTI) se movió una mediana de -2,4 % en 5 sesiones (31% al alza; mitad central entre -7,0 % y +1,7 %), y -5,0 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Oil fell below $100 as the ceasefire was announced, reflecting expectations of restored Hormuz flows (supply-side relief).
Oil fell below $100 after Trump announced the ceasefire, which started the sell-off (supply-risk relief).