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BMI expects global rice prices to stay elevated through 2024 because of unfavourable weather and India's export restrictions. It projects Chicago rough rice futures to average US$16.50/cwt in 2024, versus US$16.69 in 2023, with the contracts at US$16.32 as of April 5.
BMI expects India's restrictions to persist at least until after the Indian general election.
India's export curbs remove a major supplier from the market, keeping international rice quotations firm and supporting feed-grade rice and rice-byproduct costs. Easing is only expected in 2025 if La Niña brings higher rainfall.
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tridge.comEconomic times12 abr 2024Tras 189 eventos alcista de comercio pasados, Arroz cáscara se movió una mediana de +0,2 % en 5 sesiones (52% al alza; mitad central entre -1,7 % y +2,4 %), y +1,0 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
BMI's view that tight global supply, weather and India's export restrictions will keep prices elevated, with Chicago rough rice futures near $16.32, supports a sentiment-driven rally.
BMI's view that tight global supply and India's export restrictions will keep rice prices elevated, with rough rice futures near $16.32, supports bullish sentiment that could fuel a sharp upward move.
