◂ Cronología del evento

28 mar 2018INFORMEGlobal

Two-thirds of global cropland area impacted by climate oscillations

A Nature Communications study finds that during 1961–2010 crop productivity was significantly influenced by at least one large-scale climate oscillation (ENSO, IOD or NAO) across two-thirds of global cropland. The authors also report new possible links between NAO and crop productivity in Africa and the Middle East.

POR QUÉ IMPORTA

Recurring ENSO, IOD and NAO cycles mean a large share of global crop yields is exposed to predictable weather shocks, which can support price risk planning for feed grains. The findings are structural and do not signal an immediate supply change.

AFECTA AMaíz◆Soja◆Trigo (SRW)◆

FUENTE
nature.comHeino, Matias, Puma, Michael J., Ward, Philip J., Gerten, Dieter, Heck, Vera28 mar 2018

Reacción de precios e historial

Maíz◆neutralHASTA LA FECHA1d -0,1 %5d +3,3 %20d +4,9 %

Tras 770 eventos neutral de informe pasados, Maíz se movió una mediana de +0,2 % en 5 sesiones (54% al alza; mitad central entre -1,1 % y +1,6 %), y +0,7 % en 20.

8 nov 2019Nation's corn crop is shrinking | 2019-11-08 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0,0 %
22 mar 2018Study: Climate effects on ag yields vary by location, crop | IANR News-0,2 %
2 sept 2020Corn market still mulling impacts of derecho, Chinese buying spree | 2020-09-01 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0,4 %
18 feb 20212019 Covered Commodity Dashboard and Implications for the Crop Safety Net - farmdoc daily+0,8 %
24 ago 2023Conab analyzes conditions of second and third harvest crops - Revista Cultivar-2,8 %

Soja◆neutralHASTA LA FECHA1d -0,1 %5d -0,4 %20d +0,8 %

Tras 563 eventos neutral de informe pasados, Soja se movió una mediana de -0,1 % en 5 sesiones (48% al alza; mitad central entre -1,7 % y +1,6 %), y -0,1 % en 20.

22 mar 2018Study: Climate effects on ag yields vary by location, crop | IANR News-1,1 %
9 nov 2022WASDE reveals small crops are done getting smaller | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0,9 %
9 dic 2022USDA’s WASDE leaves most grain and oilseed estimates unchanged | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0,9 %
12 may 2020Corn ending stocks grow but not like traders expected | 2020-05-12 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0,9 %
12 ago 2019USDA trims corn, soybean acres off June estimates | 2019-08-12 | Agri-Pulse | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0,7 %

Trigo (SRW)◆neutralHASTA LA FECHA1d -0,1 %5d +1,0 %20d +4,9 %

Tras 406 eventos neutral de informe pasados, Trigo (SRW) se movió una mediana de -0,2 % en 5 sesiones (47% al alza; mitad central entre -1,6 % y +1,5 %), y +0,0 % en 20.

18 feb 20212019 Covered Commodity Dashboard and Implications for the Crop Safety Net - farmdoc daily+1,6 %
19 jun 2023Australia’s national wheat production dips while global crops prove ‘significantly’ bigger than expected | Countryman+2,6 %
24 ago 2023Conab analyzes conditions of second and third harvest crops - Revista Cultivar-4,9 %
21 abr 2023A larger corn crop is expected globally-8,6 %
11 mar 2020‘Benign’ WASDE makes minimal changes in numbers | 2020-03-10 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-4,9 %

Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.

Maíz CORN · GP ▸

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Soja SOY · GP ▸

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