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Rabobank's second quarter global beef report identifies weather as the most disruptive influence on the US beef complex, with extreme drought across Southern Plains grazing regions forcing early calf placements. Cattle on feed was estimated at 11.5 million head as of May 1, 5% above last year.
Drought-forced placements have inflated feedlot numbers and risk bunched fed cattle marketings this summer, pressuring cash fed cattle prices. Continued drought could trigger liquidation and tighter supplies into 2019.
beefmagazine.comBurt Rutherford30 may 2018Tras 18 eventos bajista de clima pasados, Ganado en pie se movió una mediana de +0,1 % en 5 sesiones (56% al alza; mitad central entre -0,7 % y +0,9 %), y -0,1 % en 20.
Tras 29 eventos bajista de clima pasados, Ganado de engorde (feeder) se movió una mediana de +0,5 % en 5 sesiones (62% al alza; mitad central entre -0,5 % y +2,6 %), y +2,4 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Southern Plains drought forcing early calf placements implies tighter future feeder supplies, a supportive supply factor, though the early placements would be bearish near term.
