Brazil's central bank said it would keep intervening in the foreign exchange market in whatever size is needed to keep trading orderly. Its $3 billion spot auction on Monday tripled the size announced the previous Friday and followed nearly $10 billion in dollar swap auctions in recent weeks.
The move followed a collapse in oil prices that drove sharp volatility across world markets.
A central bank commitment to unlimited intervention caps further real weakness, which lowers the dollar-denominated cost of Brazilian export commodities. The oil price shock is also a global demand and risk-sentiment factor for commodity prices.
Tras 213 eventos bajista de macro pasados, Real brasileño (BRL por USD) se movió una mediana de -0,2 % en 5 sesiones (46% al alza; mitad central entre -1,5 % y +0,9 %), y +0,2 % en 20.
Tras 565 eventos bajista de macro pasados, Petróleo crudo (WTI) se movió una mediana de -1,4 % en 5 sesiones (41% al alza; mitad central entre -5,9 % y +3,0 %), y -0,5 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
The central bank's pledge to keep intervening, after the oil price collapse and nearly $10 billion in swap auctions in recent weeks, reflects the FX stress and sentiment driving the 5-day real depreciation.