
Absa's Agricultural Outlook says there is more than a 50% chance of El Niño developing in the coming season, which could bring lower rainfall and higher temperatures to South Africa in November 2018 and early 2019. South African local maize for September 2018 delivery rose R75/t to R2,202/t.
The report suggests similar conditions in the US could lift international maize prices.
Expected drought risk in key summer crop regions could reduce 2019 maize supply and support corn and feed grain prices, though South Africa's large current stocks limit near-term impact.
Tras 1465 eventos alcista de clima pasados, Maíz se movió una mediana de +0,2 % en 5 sesiones (54% al alza; mitad central entre -1,4 % y +1,9 %), y +0,9 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.