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Bloomberg reports that some asset managers expect the dollar to weaken despite the Fed's expected rate hike at its September 26 meeting. BNP Paribas Asset Management sees the broad dollar falling about 10% within six to nine months, and Invesco forecasts a roughly 2% drop against the euro by year-end.
Both are watching for comments on trade tensions.
A weaker dollar would support US commodity prices and lift export competitiveness for soybeans, corn and meal, while raising costs for importers. The forecasts are contrarian views rather than confirmed trends.
bloomberg.comLananh Nguyen20 sept 2018Tras 1637 eventos bajista de macro pasados, Dólar estadounidense (amplio) se movió una mediana de -0,2 % en 5 sesiones (39% al alza; mitad central entre -0,6 % y +0,3 %), y -0,2 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
