Citi analyst Anthony Yuen expects US gas stocks to end October at 3,330 to 3,370 bcf, the lowest October month-end since 2005. He warns a severe cold snap could push Henry Hub cash prices to $12 to $16 per MMBtu.
The November contract finished at $3.054, up 7.4 cents.
Low end-of-season stocks leave the market vulnerable to winter supply shocks, which could sharply raise gas prices. The outcome depends on winter weather, and current prices remain near $3 with output rising.
Tras 221 eventos alcista de clima pasados, Gas natural se movió una mediana de +3,3 % en 5 sesiones (61% al alza; mitad central entre -5,2 % y +14,0 %), y -0,3 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.