
Commodity prices surged after Russia's invasion of Ukraine, with oil passing $100 a barrel, aluminum hitting a record and wheat reaching a nine-year high. A month into the conflict, inflation has risen, a wheat shortage is deepening food crises in countries such as Egypt, and growth forecasts are being cut.
Glencore said global trade flows will need to adapt to lost Russian and Ukrainian supply.
Sustained supply losses from Russia and Ukraine keep wheat and energy prices elevated, raising feed and input costs for buyers.
Tras 361 eventos alcista de geopolítica pasados, Trigo (SRW) se movió una mediana de +0,7 % en 5 sesiones (58% al alza; mitad central entre -1,4 % y +3,7 %), y +1,3 % en 20.
Tras 656 eventos alcista de geopolítica pasados, Petróleo crudo (Brent) se movió una mediana de +1,9 % en 5 sesiones (63% al alza; mitad central entre -2,7 % y +6,6 %), y +0,7 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Wheat hit a nine-year high with a deepening shortage and lost Russian and Ukrainian supply, giving the macro supply backdrop for the rally.