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Commerzbank says China's corporate debt problem is adding volatility and vulnerability to the yuan. Chinese firms have increased offshore borrowing since 2016, which raises their exposure to currency risk and hedging demand.
The bank expects the PBoC to defend the 7.00 level into 2019 provided the trade conflict does not escalate.
Yuan weakness would make Chinese buyers of US soybeans and other farm goods less willing to buy, while a stable yuan supports import demand. The analysis is a currency outlook with limited direct price impact on feed commodities.
forexcrunch.comFX Street31 dic 2018Tras 169 eventos neutral de macro pasados, Yuan chino (CNY por USD) se movió una mediana de +0,0 % en 5 sesiones (50% al alza; mitad central entre -0,3 % y +0,2 %), y -0,0 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
