Danske Bank analysts said the ECB has introduced an easing risk premium on the euro that could grow if the eurozone outlook keeps weakening. They said US data has recently surprised to the downside but that the Fed is likely done hiking.
A trade deal and a Brexit resolution were seen as potential positives for the euro later in 2019.
A continued risk premium on the euro points to a softer EUR/USD, which tends to firm dollar prices for US grain and feed exports.
Tras 533 eventos bajista de macro pasados, Euro (USD por EUR) se movió una mediana de -0,3 % en 5 sesiones (33% al alza; mitad central entre -1,2 % y +0,2 %), y -0,5 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.