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CIAT is developing an agroclimatic bulletin to help Central American farmers prepare for El Niño-related climate variability. The article cites expected problems including water scarcity for crops, livestock feed shortages and higher forest-fire risk in Guatemala.
The project is funded by IFAD under the CGIAR climate program.
The effect is regional and mostly about adaptation planning rather than global supply. Central American maize and feed demand could tighten if drought develops, but the impact on world prices is minor.
ccafs.cgiar.orgArely Valdivia Araica (CIAT Centroamérica2 may 2019Tras 445 eventos neutral de clima pasados, Maíz se movió una mediana de +0,1 % en 5 sesiones (52% al alza; mitad central entre -1,4 % y +1,6 %), y +0,7 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
