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Wheat rose for a second session as poor weather in major exporting countries threatened production. Coceral cut its 2024 harvest forecast for the UK and EU, Western Australia reduced its wheat crop outlook on dry weather, and parched fields in the Black Sea region threaten next year's plantings.
Lower harvest estimates from several major exporters tighten global wheat supply and support prices, with Black Sea dryness adding risk to the 2025 crop.
bloomberg.comHallie Gu, Tarso Veloso23 sept 2024Tras 1072 eventos alcista de clima pasados, Trigo (SRW) se movió una mediana de +0,2 % en 5 sesiones (55% al alza; mitad central entre -1,4 % y +2,3 %), y +0,3 % en 20.
Tras 322 eventos alcista de clima pasados, Trigo (HRW) se movió una mediana de -0,1 % en 5 sesiones (49% al alza; mitad central entre -2,5 % y +3,2 %), y +1,0 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Cuts to UK/EU and Western Australian crop outlooks plus dry Black Sea fields tightened the supply outlook and extended the rally on Sept 23.
Published on the move date, it reports wheat gains driven by supply threats from weather in major exporters (EU/UK cuts, Western Australia dryness, Black Sea dryness), a direct supply-side driver.
