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Peru's economy is feeling the effects of China's slowdown through lower copper prices, with copper about 10% below year-earlier levels in early February. The sol weakened against the dollar over February, moving from 3.31 to 3.46 per US dollar.
Goldman Sachs estimates a 10% copper price drop would cut Peru's growth by about one percentage point.
Weaker Chinese demand for metals and agricultural commodities reduces export receipts across Latin America, which can pressure local currencies and feed-input import costs. For feed buyers, softer Chinese demand for Argentine and Brazilian agricultural exports is a bearish signal for soy complex prices.
perusupportgroup.org.uk29 feb 2020Todavía no hay suficientes eventos comparables pasados para una lectura histórica.
Tras 117 eventos bajista de macro pasados, Harina de soja se movió una mediana de -0,6 % en 5 sesiones (41% al alza; mitad central entre -2,5 % y +1,7 %), y +0,5 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
