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CME cattle futures fell on May 1, 2024 after reports that USDA was testing retail ground beef for H5N1 bird flu, which investors feared would hurt consumer demand. June live cattle closed about 1.1 cents lower and August feeders fell 3.75 cents, both to multi-week lows.
Lean hogs and boxed beef also declined.
Fear of H5N1 contamination in beef can cut retail and wholesale demand and pull futures lower even without confirmed positives. Feeder and live cattle prices fall with it, which affects feed buyers' cattle-feeding margins.
marketscreener.comReuters1 may 2024Tras 70 eventos bajista de enfermedad pasados, Ganado en pie se movió una mediana de +0,0 % en 5 sesiones (51% al alza; mitad central entre -1,7 % y +1,0 %), y +0,4 % en 20.
Tras 46 eventos bajista de enfermedad pasados, Ganado de engorde (feeder) se movió una mediana de +0,3 % en 5 sesiones (54% al alza; mitad central entre -2,3 % y +1,6 %), y +1,8 % en 20.
Tras 117 eventos bajista de enfermedad pasados, Cerdo magro se movió una mediana de -0,6 % en 5 sesiones (36% al alza; mitad central entre -2,2 % y +1,6 %), y +1,2 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
On May 1, reports that USDA was testing retail ground beef for H5N1 sparked fears of weaker consumer demand, sending June live cattle to multi-week lows, which matches the timing and direction of the move.
USDA ground beef H5N1 testing news hit cattle futures on May 1, a day after the move, but it reflects the same demand-fear sentiment already weighing on the market.
