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Russian 12.5% wheat rose $8.50 week on week to $236.50/mt FOB but eased from the week's start as Chicago lost nearly 5%. Abnormally dry September conditions across the Black Sea, with many Russian and Ukrainian fields lacking topsoil moisture, persist as a bullish factor.
Dryness during winter planting in the Black Sea raises concern for the 2021 crop, which could support wheat prices if rain fails to arrive, though competition from other origins caps gains.
blog.sizov.reportAndrey Sizov28 sept 2020Tras 322 eventos alcista de clima pasados, Trigo (HRW) se movió una mediana de -0,1 % en 5 sesiones (49% al alza; mitad central entre -2,5 % y +3,2 %), y +1,0 % en 20.
Tras 1072 eventos alcista de clima pasados, Trigo (SRW) se movió una mediana de +0,2 % en 5 sesiones (55% al alza; mitad central entre -1,4 % y +2,3 %), y +0,3 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Dryness across the Black Sea and Russian/Ukrainian fields lacking topsoil moisture is a supply-risk factor that supports a bullish rebound after Chicago's near 5% loss earlier in the week.
