
Kansas wheat scouts were expected to find a crop that rescues a market hit by a Russian shortfall. Analysts have been cutting Russia's next harvest estimates after a spell of bad weather, and benchmark prices have risen more than 10% this month.
Cuts to Russia's crop tighten global supplies and support prices, while a strong Kansas crop would partly offset that tightness for HRW buyers.
Tras 1072 eventos alcista de clima pasados, Trigo (SRW) se movió una mediana de +0,2 % en 5 sesiones (55% al alza; mitad central entre -1,4 % y +2,3 %), y +0,3 % en 20.
Tras 29 eventos neutral de clima pasados, Trigo (HRW) se movió una mediana de +0,6 % en 5 sesiones (52% al alza; mitad central entre -1,9 % y +2,3 %), y -0,7 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Published May 20, it explains the Russian harvest estimate cuts behind the month's 10%+ price gain, though the expected Kansas crop is a bearish offset.
Bloomberg notes analysts cutting Russian harvest estimates and prices up more than 10% in May, which framed the supply-shortfall rally going into the window.