
Indian fertiliser importers expect higher costs if coronavirus disruptions in China shut plants and extend workers' holidays. Chinese New Year celebrations were cancelled and China's fertiliser exports could decline.
Reduced Chinese output of fertilizer would tighten global supply and could push DAP and other fertilizer prices higher, raising feed-grain input costs over time.
Tras 11 eventos alcista de enfermedad pasados, DAP se movió una mediana de +0,9 % en 5 sesiones (64% al alza; mitad central entre 0,0 % y +3,3 %), y +2,9 % en 20.
Tras 758 eventos alcista de cualquier tipo pasados, Urea se movió una mediana de +0,1 % en 5 sesiones (51% al alza; mitad central entre -1,6 % y +2,7 %), y +1,3 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Expected Chinese plant closures and lower fertiliser exports from the coronavirus raise import cost expectations for DAP buyers like India, a supply-side driver of the price jump.
Chinese plant closures and cancelled holidays could cut China's fertiliser exports, raising import costs for buyers like India and lifting DAP prices through supply and trade-flow effects.
Expected Chinese plant closures and lower fertiliser exports raise import-cost expectations for major DAP buyer India, supporting DAP prices through supply and sentiment channels.