Fertilizer prices are heading toward record highs after a series of supply shocks, including Hurricane Ida, European production slowdowns and China's phosphate export ban. StoneX's Josh Linville says urea has not yet reached 2008 highs, but the market is more supply-driven than in 2008.
Concerns are growing that prices could surpass 2008 levels.
A supply-driven shock in urea and phosphate threatens to raise production costs and reduce fertilizer application for the 2022 season. That could lift grain and feed prices.
Tras 176 eventos alcista de comercio pasados, Urea se movió una mediana de +0,1 % en 5 sesiones (51% al alza; mitad central entre -1,3 % y +2,4 %), y +1,6 % en 20.
Tras 193 eventos alcista de comercio pasados, DAP se movió una mediana de +0,4 % en 5 sesiones (54% al alza; mitad central entre -0,3 % y +1,8 %), y +1,9 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Describes a series of supply shocks (Ida, European slowdowns, China export curbs) pushing fertilizer toward record highs, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
A series of supply shocks (Ida, European slowdowns, China export curbs) pushed fertilizer toward record highs, driving panic buying and sentiment.
Cites China's export ban together with Hurricane Ida and European slowdowns as stacked supply shocks, which fed bullish sentiment in fertilizer including DAP.