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Thomas Mielke of ISTA Mielke said Malaysian palm oil production will drop slightly in 2020 from 20.5 million tonnes in 2019. He expected Indonesian output to slow growth to 45.4 million tonnes, and said global palm oil supply will fall short of demand.
China is also increasing vegetable oil imports due to lower domestic soybean crushing.
A forecast global palm oil deficit and rising Chinese import demand support higher vegetable oil prices. Tighter oil supply raises costs for oil-based feed ingredients.
malaymail.com1 nov 2019Tras 149 eventos alcista de informe pasados, Aceite de palma se movió una mediana de +0,5 % en 5 sesiones (57% al alza; mitad central entre -1,1 % y +1,8 %), y +0,8 % en 20.
Tras 296 eventos alcista de informe pasados, Aceite de soja se movió una mediana de -0,0 % en 5 sesiones (49% al alza; mitad central entre -1,8 % y +2,0 %), y -0,5 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
ISTA Mielke's forecast of lower 2020 Malaysian output and a global supply shortfall supports higher prices via expected supply tightness.
Forecasts of lower 2020 Malaysian output and a global supply shortfall, plus rising Chinese vegetable oil imports, support higher prices.
ISTA Mielke's forecast of lower 2020 Malaysian output and a global supply shortfall versus demand supports the tightening-supply narrative on the move date.
