
Global natural gas prices are rising to levels not seen in over a decade, with Russia's war in Ukraine blamed for high European energy prices. The scramble for non-Russian supply has pushed U.S. prices to roughly double since the start of the year.
The analysis suggests much of the price is a risk premium rather than a physical shortage, so prices could ease if supply fears fade, but spikes remain possible while the war continues. Higher gas feeds into nitrogen fertilizer costs.
Tras 136 eventos alcista de geopolítica pasados, Gas natural se movió una mediana de +2,7 % en 5 sesiones (63% al alza; mitad central entre -1,8 % y +8,8 %), y +4,0 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.