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Commerzbank economists argue bearish pressure is building on the yuan due to governance and reputational risks tied to China's political system and COVID strategy. They say free-flowing export revenue currently supports the currency, but this could fade if global durable goods demand normalises or the West enters recession.
A weaker yuan could raise China's dollar-denominated import costs for feed ingredients over time, but this is an analyst view on future currency risk with no immediate price effect.
octaafrica.net18 jul 2022Tras 398 eventos alcista de macro pasados, Yuan chino (CNY por USD) se movió una mediana de +0,0 % en 5 sesiones (56% al alza; mitad central entre -0,3 % y +0,5 %), y +0,0 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
