Brazil's real weakened against the dollar on Monday after Lula won the presidential election over incumbent Jair Bolsonaro, who had not yet conceded. The real was down 0.7% in early trading after falling as much as 2% earlier, and interest rate futures rose sharply.
Political uncertainty over the transition weighed on the real, which raises the cost of Brazilian exports priced in dollars and can support soybean and corn values in dollar terms. The price effect is modest and depends on whether the result is accepted.
Tras 301 eventos alcista de macro pasados, Real brasileño (BRL por USD) se movió una mediana de +0,4 % en 5 sesiones (57% al alza; mitad central entre -1,2 % y +1,7 %), y +1,0 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.