
Brazilian stocks and the real fell after Bloomberg reported that President Lula's administration was pushing for an early review of the inflation target with the aim of raising it. Markets have priced in higher long-term interest rates as a result, the opposite of the government's goal of cheaper credit.
Currency weakness and higher rates raise the cost of financing for Brazilian agribusiness, while a weaker real could make Brazilian exports more competitive; the effect on feed commodity prices is indirect.
Tras 301 eventos alcista de macro pasados, Real brasileño (BRL por USD) se movió una mediana de +0,4 % en 5 sesiones (57% al alza; mitad central entre -1,2 % y +1,7 %), y +1,0 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.