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An analyst told the Jakarta Post that Indonesia's decision to suspend some palm oil export permits would have a negligible effect on global prices. Malaysian crude palm oil rose 1.5% in the days after the rule was announced, but the gain faded.
The analyst set resistance at 4,200 to 4,400 ringgit a tonne and warned of a fall toward 3,500 to 3,700 ringgit if a negative catalyst appeared.
The export tightening is a real supply risk from the largest palm producer, but the market is treating it as a limited shock. Buyers should price in only modest, short-lived palm support unless Indonesia expands the restrictions.
pwc.comPricewaterhouseCoopers14 feb 2023Tras 67 eventos neutral de comercio pasados, Aceite de palma se movió una mediana de +0,0 % en 5 sesiones (51% al alza; mitad central entre -1,1 % y +1,3 %), y +0,6 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
