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A Federal Reserve FEDS Note by Emre Yoldas examines whether surprise changes in policy rates explained currency movements against the dollar during the global monetary tightening that followed the post-pandemic inflation surge. It finds that exchange rate moves on average are not consistently aligned with survey-based interest rate surprises, and it considers the role of global risk appetite.
Currency swings against the dollar shape the cost of imported feed ingredients and the competitiveness of exporters, but this research is analytical background with no direct new shock to grain or meal prices.
federalreserve.govEmre Yoldas10 may 2024Tras 359 eventos neutral de macro pasados, Dólar estadounidense (amplio) se movió una mediana de -0,0 % en 5 sesiones (49% al alza; mitad central entre -0,4 % y +0,4 %), y -0,1 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
