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ING reports that OPEC+ extended its additional voluntary cuts and laid out plans to ease them gradually from the fourth quarter of 2024. The group also rolled over about 2 million barrels per day of group-wide cuts through the end of 2025.
ING expects the market to stay in deficit for the rest of 2024.
A market deficit through 2024 supports crude prices and keeps energy costs firm for feed and biofuel supply chains. The gradual unwinding of cuts from late 2024 limits how much prices can rise.
think.ing.comWarren Patterson3 jun 2024Tras 442 eventos alcista de política pasados, Petróleo crudo (Brent) se movió una mediana de +1,4 % en 5 sesiones (60% al alza; mitad central entre -2,0 % y +4,9 %), y +2,1 % en 20.
Tras 438 eventos alcista de política pasados, Petróleo crudo (WTI) se movió una mediana de +0,9 % en 5 sesiones (61% al alza; mitad central entre -2,2 % y +4,6 %), y +2,0 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
ING's summary of the OPEC+ outcome describes the gradual easing of cuts from Q4 2024, which is the supply-side catalyst for the selloff, partly offset by the extension of group-wide cuts.
