AHDB's daily grain report says La Niña could return in summer 2024, with NOAA putting the chance at 65% for July to September and 85% for November to January. UK feed wheat futures eased on strong expected US end-of-season stocks and improving Russian crop prospects.
The report notes La Niña often causes major weather changes in many regions.
Expected La Niña weather could affect crop yields in several exporting regions, which supports the price outlook for wheat. Current pressure on wheat prices comes mainly from ample supply, so the weather risk is a longer-term support.
Tras 1072 eventos alcista de clima pasados, Trigo (SRW) se movió una mediana de +0,2 % en 5 sesiones (55% al alza; mitad central entre -1,4 % y +2,3 %), y +0,3 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.