BNP Paribas says euro could rise, not fall, if recession hits

Tras 129 eventos neutral de macro pasados, Euro (USD por EUR) se movió una mediana de -0,1 % en 5 sesiones (45% al alza; mitad central entre -0,5 % y +0,5 %), y +0,1 % en 20.

• 1 mar 2026ECB Has Yet to See Full Impact of Euro Appreciation, Kazaks Says-1,8 %
• 27 abr 2017Eurozone recovery gathering pace, says Draghi - BBC News+0,4 %
• 1 jul 2025ECB policymakers set pain threshold for euro rise in weak economy | Reuters-0,5 %
• 16 jun 2025ECB relaxed about euro strength, risk of too low inflation, de Guindos says-0,2 %
• 18 jul 2024European Central Bank holds rates, says domestic price pressures high-0,7 %

Tras 359 eventos neutral de macro pasados, Dólar estadounidense (amplio) se movió una mediana de -0,0 % en 5 sesiones (49% al alza; mitad central entre -0,4 % y +0,4 %), y -0,1 % en 20.

• 22 oct 2021Powell says inflation risks rising, but Fed can be 'patient' | AP News-0,2 %
• 19 oct 2021Fed's Waller: 'More aggressive' response may be needed if inflation stays high-0,3 %
• 11 sept 2020Euro Retreats after ECB Blows Hot and Cold On Currency Strength and 'No Deal' Brexit Risk Builds-0,4 %
• 28 ene 2026FOMC decision: Fed firmly on pause, as dollar recovers but gold continues its march higher+0,4 %
• 24 feb 2022Sterling falls below $1.36 as BoE tries to cool rate-hike bets | Euronews+1,0 %