
StoneX's Josh Linville says Iranian and Egyptian nitrogen production shut down after the strikes, removing the third and fourth largest urea exporters from the market. Global urea prices rose between 20 and 40 percent within days.
Supply tightness persists even though a ceasefire has been reached.
Losing two major exporters at once has pushed urea to sharply higher levels, and the tightness is expected to keep fertilizer prices elevated. Higher nitrogen costs also raise the cost of corn and other feed-grain production.
Tras 205 eventos alcista de geopolítica pasados, Urea se movió una mediana de +0,4 % en 5 sesiones (53% al alza; mitad central entre -2,1 % y +3,0 %), y -0,4 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.