USDA announced risk-based phased reopening of southern ports to cattle, bison and equine imports from Mexico, starting with Douglas, Arizona, as early as July 7. The decision follows improved sterile fly dispersal and surveillance in Mexico, with no notable rise in screwworm cases there for eight weeks.
The ports had been closed since May 11.
Resumed Mexican feeder cattle imports would add supply to a tight U.S. market, which is likely to pressure feeder cattle prices and ease the historic beef price run-up over time.
Tras 87 eventos bajista de comercio pasados, Ganado de engorde (feeder) se movió una mediana de +0,4 % en 5 sesiones (54% al alza; mitad central entre -3,2 % y +1,9 %), y +1,1 % en 20.
Tras 121 eventos bajista de comercio pasados, Ganado en pie se movió una mediana de -0,6 % en 5 sesiones (40% al alza; mitad central entre -1,6 % y +0,8 %), y -0,3 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
The official USDA notice of southern port reopening starting July 7 is the source of the supply-outlook shift behind the futures selloff.
USDA's June 30 announcement of a phased reopening of Mexican cattle imports from July 7 raises expected feeder supply, a bearish trade-flow factor for cattle futures.