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Farmdoc analysis says USDA projects relatively low 2025/26 ending stocks, yet new-crop December corn has traded between about $4.10 and $4.30 per bushel since early July. The author attributes the gap to market expectations for unrealized yield figures that differ from USDA estimates.
The first official NASS yield estimate is due in August.
The disconnect between tight projected balance sheets and historically low prices means the August NASS yield report could trigger sizable corn price volatility.
farmdocdaily.illinois.eduHongxia Jiao24 jul 2025Tras 770 eventos neutral de informe pasados, Maíz se movió una mediana de +0,2 % en 5 sesiones (54% al alza; mitad central entre -1,1 % y +1,6 %), y +0,7 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
