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RaboResearch reports that fertilizer affordability has declined as prices rose about 15% between April and September 2025, with phosphates up almost 19%. It expects weaker fertilizer demand in 2026 as global supplies of corn, wheat and soybeans reach record levels.
Weaker affordability and forecast demand contraction in 2026 point to softer fertilizer price pressure once current supply tightness eases, while record crop supplies weigh on grain prices.
croplife.comMatt Hopkins2 nov 2025Tras 35 eventos bajista de informe pasados, DAP se movió una mediana de 0,0 % en 5 sesiones (37% al alza; mitad central entre -0,7 % y +1,5 %), y +0,6 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Poor affordability and expected weaker 2026 fertilizer demand, with phosphates up about 19%, point to demand destruction that weighs on DAP prices.
