
BBC Weather reports growing confidence that the developing El Niño could be one of the strongest on record, possibly peaking as a very strong event in autumn. NOAA gives a two-in-three chance of strong or very strong El Niño by winter.
Scientists warn of record global temperatures and humanitarian impacts, including a likely record-warm 2027.
A very strong El Niño peaking in autumn would raise the risk of crop shortfalls in multiple regions during the 2026-27 season, supporting wheat and other grain prices.
Tras 1072 eventos alcista de clima pasados, Trigo (SRW) se movió una mediana de +0,2 % en 5 sesiones (55% al alza; mitad central entre -1,4 % y +2,3 %), y +0,3 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.