
India has received 15% less rainfall than normal since the monsoon began on June 1, with some rice-growing states up to 42% short. Rice output is set for its biggest drop in two decades, but large state stockpiles should let India keep exporting without restrictions.
A sharp domestic crop shortfall could tighten global rice supply, but large Indian stocks limit the risk of an export ban, so the price impact is likely moderate.
Tras 179 eventos alcista de clima pasados, Arroz cáscara se movió una mediana de +0,4 % en 5 sesiones (55% al alza; mitad central entre -1,4 % y +2,5 %), y +2,2 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.