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A University of Minnesota veterinarian describes the continued global spread of African swine fever into new regions in 2023 and 2024. ASF has no approved treatment or widely available vaccine and can kill up to 100% of infected herds.
The article estimates that a US outbreak could cost billions through closed export markets.
ASF spread in exporting countries raises the risk of a US outbreak, which would close export markets and push hog prices down while supporting demand for feed grains if domestic pork is redirected. The article is educational and does not signal a new supply shock.
nationalhogfarmer.com28 feb 2024Tras 117 eventos bajista de enfermedad pasados, Cerdo magro se movió una mediana de -0,6 % en 5 sesiones (36% al alza; mitad central entre -2,2 % y +1,6 %), y +1,2 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
