
China retaliated against US tariffs with duties on US farm products, after China had already shifted soybean purchases toward Brazil. About half of US soybean exports went to China in 2024, worth $12.8 billion.
US corn exports to China fell sharply in 2024 as Chinese domestic production rose and Brazil overtook the US as the top supplier.
China's declining reliance on US soybeans and corn reduces the value of US export demand and leaves US prices more exposed to tariff-driven shifts. Brazilian supply continues to gain share in China's feed grain and oilseed imports.
Tras 803 eventos bajista de comercio pasados, Soja se movió una mediana de +0,0 % en 5 sesiones (51% al alza; mitad central entre -1,7 % y +1,7 %), y +0,9 % en 20.
Tras 683 eventos bajista de comercio pasados, Maíz se movió una mediana de -0,2 % en 5 sesiones (47% al alza; mitad central entre -1,7 % y +1,6 %), y +0,3 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Background on China's retaliation against US farm goods and the heavy reliance of US soybean exports on China (about half), which makes the demand-loss risk large.